The BYU basketball team is set to kick off its conference play on Tuesday afternoon, hosting Arizona State at the Marriott Center. Two key players, Egor Demin and Richie Saunders, are expected to return after recovering from injuries that sidelined them in December. This matchup highlights the stark contrast between the two teams' strengths and weaknesses, particularly in offensive rebounding and overall efficiency. BYU's ability to capitalize on extra possessions through strong rebounding could be the deciding factor in this game.

Offensive Rebounding Advantage for BYU

In this highly anticipated match, BYU holds a significant advantage in offensive rebounding. The Cougars rank first nationally in terms of limiting opponents' offensive rebounds and 21st in securing their own. This skill will likely create numerous second-chance opportunities for BYU, giving them an edge over Arizona State. The Sun Devils have struggled with rebounding this season, ranking near the bottom in both offensive and defensive rebounding metrics. BYU's prowess in protecting the ball and minimizing turnovers further amplifies their advantage.

The importance of offensive rebounding cannot be overstated in this contest. BYU's dominance in this area means they can extend possessions and generate more scoring chances. For instance, if BYU secures an offensive rebound after a missed shot, it not only prevents Arizona State from transitioning quickly but also provides the Cougars with additional opportunities to score. This capability to extend plays and create extra possessions could prove decisive, especially when combined with BYU's efficient offense. Moreover, Arizona State's lower ranking in defensive rebounding exacerbates this challenge, making it even more difficult for them to control the tempo of the game.

Efficiency and Scoring Potential

Both teams possess formidable scoring capabilities, but BYU's overall efficiency gives them a slight edge. Ranked 30th nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency, the Cougars have demonstrated a consistent ability to put points on the board. In contrast, while Arizona State ranks 73rd in offensive efficiency, their defensive strength, placing 43rd in adjusted defensive efficiency, might pose a challenge for BYU. However, BYU's superior offensive rebounding and possession protection should help them overcome any defensive pressure from the Sun Devils.

Looking deeper into the statistics, BYU's ability to protect the ball and avoid turnovers stands out as another critical factor. The Cougars have been meticulous in maintaining possession, which contrasts sharply with Arizona State's tendency to turn the ball over more frequently. This disparity in ball handling could lead to more fast-break opportunities for BYU, allowing them to exploit Arizona State's defensive vulnerabilities. Ultimately, these factors combined suggest that BYU will have multiple ways to score and maintain control of the game, leading to a predicted final score of 82-72 in favor of the Cougars.