As the College Football Playoff (CFP) quarterfinals approach, the betting landscape is heating up with significant interest from both casual fans and seasoned gamblers. The early round games were a boon for bettors backing favorites, but as the stakes rise, so does the unpredictability. Bookmakers are closely monitoring action on key matchups, especially those featuring underdogs like Boise State and Arizona State, which could potentially shake up the odds.

Uncovering Hidden Value in College Football’s Biggest Games

Georgia vs. Notre Dame: A Clash of Titans

The Sugar Bowl showdown between No. 7 Notre Dame and No. 2 Georgia has emerged as one of the most anticipated games of the quarterfinals. Despite losing quarterback Carson Beck to injury, Georgia remains favored by many sportsbooks, including Caesars Sports, which initially opened the Bulldogs at -1.5. Joey Feazel, head of football trading at Caesars, emphasized that Georgia's strength lies beyond its quarterback position. “This is a big step up in class for Notre Dame,” he noted, highlighting the Bulldogs' formidable defense. However, it’s worth noting that Notre Dame has been one of the best spread-covering teams this season, while Georgia has struggled in that department. This dichotomy adds an intriguing layer to the matchup, leaving bettors to weigh the Fighting Irish’s consistency against Georgia’s overall talent.While initial bets have been evenly split, Feazel expressed excitement about this game, suggesting that it could be a pivotal moment in the CFP. With both teams boasting impressive records, the outcome will likely hinge on Notre Dame’s ability to adapt to Georgia’s defensive prowess. As the game approaches, expect the line to fluctuate based on public sentiment and insider insights.

Penn State vs. Boise State: An Underdog’s Chance

New Year’s Eve brings the Fiesta Bowl, where No. 6 Penn State faces off against No. 3 Boise State. Despite Boise State’s higher seed, oddsmakers have made Penn State a substantial favorite, opening at -10 and moving up to -11. According to Feazel, the Nittany Lions’ recent blowout win over SMU has bolstered their standing. Yet, the Broncos, who received a bye, cannot be underestimated. Their record of 12-1 straight up (SU) and 7-5-1 against the spread (ATS) suggests they may cover the spread despite being heavy underdogs.Feazel noted that early betting activity has been relatively even, with some money flowing towards Boise State and the Under. However, he expects the public to eventually lean towards Penn State. The key to this game will be how well Boise State can manage the pressure of facing a high-powered offense. For bettors, the value might lie in backing Boise State or considering the Under, given the potential for a low-scoring affair.

Texas vs. Arizona State: A David and Goliath Matchup

In the Peach Bowl, No. 5 Texas takes on No. 4 Arizona State, with the Longhorns listed as 14-point favorites. Texas comes into this game riding high after defeating Clemson, while Arizona State secured a first-round bye. Feazel observed that there has been some early action on Arizona State, particularly on the moneyline, where the Sun Devils are +400 underdogs. This presents an opportunity for those willing to take a risk on the upset.College football betting expert Paul Stone sees value in backing Arizona State, citing their impressive 11-2 ATS record this season. Stone believes that the Sun Devils’ running back, Cam Skattebo, could play a crucial role in keeping the game close. Skattebo’s ability to gain yards against Texas’s stout defense will be a focal point. While the Longhorns are expected to advance, the margin of victory could be narrower than the odds suggest, making Arizona State a tempting option for contrarian bettors.

Oregon vs. Ohio State: A Revenge Game with High Stakes

The Rose Bowl features a rematch between Oregon and Ohio State, two teams now united in the Big Ten. Ohio State, despite losing to Oregon earlier in the season, is favored by 2.5 points. Feazel highlighted that this is a revenge spot for the Buckeyes, who are eager to prove themselves. Oregon, however, boasts a perfect 13-0 SU record and has shown resilience throughout the year.The betting lines have already shifted, with Ohio State moving from -1 to -2.5, indicating strong public support. Feazel anticipates further movement as the game nears. The Over/Under market has also seen significant action, with bettors expecting a high-scoring contest. Both teams have demonstrated offensive firepower, but the key will be how well Oregon can defend against Ohio State’s dynamic attack. For those looking to capitalize, consider the Over or taking Oregon outright, given their superior record and home-field advantage in this neutral-site setting.

Betting Trends and Big Bets: A Look at the Future

The CFP has not only captured the attention of casual fans but also attracted some notable wagers. One of the largest bets came from a Louisiana customer who placed $1.5 million on Texas at +390 to win the national title. If the Longhorns succeed, the payout would be a staggering $7.35 million. Smaller yet equally intriguing bets include a $500 wager on Notre Dame at +8000 after their loss to Northern Illinois, which could net $40,000 if the Fighting Irish go all the way.These big bets underscore the excitement and unpredictability surrounding the CFP. As the quarterfinals unfold, expect more bold moves from both bettors and bookmakers. The next few weeks will determine whether these wagers pay off, adding another layer of drama to an already thrilling postseason.