HorseRacing
Fair Odds: Prairie Bayou Pick 4 Single - Dresden Row
2024-12-11
With the anticipated scratch of Patches O’Houlihan in the Holiday Cheer Stakes, the favorite in the Prairie Bayou Stakes at Turfway Park stands to not only claim victory in his race but also potentially shine in any race as part of the first-ever synthetic championship. Dresden Row, a multiple Grade 3 winner on Woodbine’s Tapeta surface, showed great potential last time in a Grade 2 with his four-wide rally. Despite falling short, his Ragozin Figures are significantly higher than those of his adversaries here. We’ll have to wait and see how the actual wagering unfolds, but I’m confident in locking my money on him as a single in the all-stakes Pick 4.
Vertical Considerations and Value Bets
Clear Alternative - Wadsworth
Wadsworth is clearly the alternative to consider. His 2-for-3 record at Turfway is noteworthy, but in terms of talent, he simply trails the favorite. He is likely to be the second choice, and it will be interesting to see if we can beat him out of the trifecta. His performance will be closely watched as he attempts to make an impact.Class and Surface Test for Paros
Paros is facing a class and surface test here, and these uncertainties are likely to keep some bettors away. However, his previous nice turf race at Keeneland at this distance gives us hope. Luis Saez’s win on him there and his return to ride give Paros an added edge. Assuming fair odds, Paros could be a key horse to consider underneath Dresden Row.Analyzing the Field and Potential Bets
Looking at the entire field, there are clear contenders and those with potential. Dresden Row’s dominance is evident, but there are opportunities beneath him. Wadsworth offers a viable alternative, while Paros presents a chance for those willing to take a risk. Each horse has its own story and potential, and it will be a fascinating race to watch. The synthetic surface adds an extra layer of complexity, and we’ll have to see how the horses adapt. It’s a race that holds many possibilities and could lead to some unexpected outcomes.