This week's horse racing scene brings an exciting lineup of events leading up to the prestigious Kentucky Derby 2025 and the Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks. Notable experts Brian Zipse and Matt Shifman provide insightful analysis on key races, including the Louisiana Derby and Fair Grounds Oaks. In the Louisiana Derby, a field of ten sophomore males competes over 1 3/16 miles, with John Hancock as the favorite. Meanwhile, the Fair Grounds Oaks features Good Cheer, currently the top contender for the Kentucky Oaks, facing eight other fillies in a challenging 1 1/16-mile race. The discussions also highlight impressive performances by American Promise and Sierra Leone, showcasing seasoned trainers D. Wayne Lukas and Chad Brown.
Among the standout stories this week is the remarkable victory of American Promise in the Virginia Derby. Trained by D. Wayne Lukas, this powerful colt demonstrated exceptional potential despite having only one win in eight career starts prior to this event. His dominant performance, finishing 7 3/4 lengths ahead in 1:46.41, underscores his growing stature in the derby landscape. Lukas, nearing 90 years old, continues to defy age with his impressive training record and commitment to nurturing top-tier horses.
The return of Sierra Leone adds another layer of excitement to the weekend's races. As the reigning champion from the 2024 Breeders’ Cup Classic, this son of Gun Runner is set to compete in the New Orleans Classic (G2). With consistent performances throughout his previous season, earning $6 million in prize money, Sierra Leone is poised to dominate once again under the guidance of trainer Chad Brown. His main rival appears to be Hall of Fame, fresh off three consecutive victories, but expectations remain high for Sierra Leone's continued success.
Turning to the Louisiana Derby, the competition intensifies with a diverse group of contenders. While John Hancock remains the early favorite following his triumph in the Sam F. Davis, several other competitors present intriguing possibilities. Caldera, coming off a strong showing in the Virginia Derby, represents a formidable challenge alongside Built, Chunk of Gold, and Instant Replay. This race promises thrilling moments as these young talents vie for crucial points en route to the Kentucky Derby.
In the Fair Grounds Oaks, the undefeated Good Cheer seeks to maintain her perfect record against a competitive field of fillies. Trainer Cherie DeVaux’s Ahavah, making waves after an impressive debut, could surprise many with her burgeoning talent. Additionally, Gowells Delight, opting out of the Virginia Oaks to focus on this race, presents another compelling contender. Each filly brings unique strengths, setting the stage for an unpredictable yet exhilarating showdown.
Brian Zipse and Matt Shifman conclude their analysis by predicting potential upsets in both the Louisiana Derby and Fair Grounds Oaks. For the former, Chunk of Gold emerges as a dark horse due to his consistent late-race rallies and strategic positioning within the pack. In the latter, Ahavah garners attention as a possible challenger to Good Cheer's dominance. These selections reflect careful consideration of each horse's past performances and current form, adding depth to the anticipation surrounding these critical prep races.