On Saturday, the Grade 2 Rachel Alexandra Stakes at Fair Grounds will showcase a field of seven fillies, but all eyes are on two standout contenders. The race features Good Cheer, an undefeated three-year-old with an impressive record, and Simply Joking, who holds a significant pace advantage. While Good Cheer has garnered attention for her flawless victories, bettors may find more value in backing Simply Joking. This article delves into the background of both horses and analyzes why one might offer a better opportunity for punters.

Good Cheer enters this race with an impeccable record, having won all four of her starts by a combined margin of over 32 lengths. Her versatility is evident, as she has triumphed on different tracks and under varying conditions. Notably, she secured victories in the Rags to Riches and Golden Rod stakes, demonstrating her prowess in high-level competition. Trained by Brad Cox and ridden by Luis Saez, Good Cheer represents Godolphin's homebred talent. However, despite her stellar resume, favorites in this race have not fared well recently, with none winning since 2019. This trend adds an intriguing twist to the betting dynamics.

Simply Joking emerges as the primary challenger to Good Cheer. Trainer Whit Beckman and jockey Jaime Torres are expected to employ a strategic approach similar to their successful run in the Silverbulletday Stakes, where Simply Joking dominated from start to finish. Her ability to set the pace could prove decisive against Good Cheer, who has yet to face such early pressure. This tactical advantage positions Simply Joking as a compelling choice for bettors seeking value.

While the other five entrants in the race may struggle to match the top two, it’s always wise to monitor the odds board. If Good Cheer becomes the heavy favorite, opportunities might arise for alternative bets. Nonetheless, Simply Joking stands out as the preferred pick due to her tactical edge and competitive form. The Rachel Alexandra Stakes promises to be a thrilling contest between these two promising fillies, offering bettors an exciting challenge in selecting the winner.