In recent years, the National Football League has seen a significant shift in offensive strategies. Once dominated by powerful running plays, the league gradually shifted its focus towards the passing game, driven by rule changes aimed at increasing scores and enhancing player safety. However, this trend is now reversing, as the running game makes a surprising comeback. Over the past four seasons, there has been a noticeable decline in passing yards per game, while rushing performances have surged. This year alone, over 20 players are on track to surpass the 1,000-yard rushing mark, an achievement that was much rarer just a few years ago. The potential for Saquon Barkley to break Eric Dickerson’s single-season rushing record and win the MVP award highlights the renewed importance of running backs in today's NFL.
In the golden hues of autumn, the NFL witnessed a dramatic transformation in its offensive dynamics. For nearly a decade, the league had been steering toward a pass-heavy approach, with rule adjustments that favored higher-scoring games and player safety. These changes led to record-breaking passing seasons in 2015 and 2016, while rushing totals hit their lowest points since 1999. Yet, the pendulum began to swing back. Since 2019, each season has seen a steady decrease in passing yards per game, and this year, the decline has been even more pronounced. Remarkably, the number of players achieving 1,000 rushing yards has skyrocketed, with 20 or more expected to reach this milestone. Notably, Saquon Barkley of the Philadelphia Eagles stands on the brink of breaking the single-season rushing record set by Eric Dickerson in 1984. If successful, Barkley could also become only the second non-quarterback to win the league’s MVP Award since LaDainian Tomlinson in 2006.
What makes this resurgence particularly intriguing is that it defies both the NFL’s long-standing efforts to promote the passing game and the prevailing wisdom among football analysts. For years, there has been a widely held belief that star running backs were overvalued, with some arguing that a team could achieve similar results using a rotation of less expensive players. Teams like the New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs have thrived without relying heavily on standout running backs, winning multiple Super Bowls. Even teams that emphasized rushing, such as the San Francisco 49ers, did so with little fanfare, often cycling through unremarkable lead backs. However, the current revival suggests that the role of running backs may be more critical than previously thought.
From a journalistic perspective, this resurgence of the running game challenges the conventional narrative that has dominated NFL discourse for years. It raises questions about the value of star power versus team dynamics and invites a reevaluation of how we assess player contributions. As fans and analysts alike witness this unexpected shift, it becomes clear that the NFL is a constantly evolving sport where trends can change as quickly as the next play. The return of the running back as a dominant force not only adds excitement to the game but also reminds us that in sports, nothing is ever truly predictable.