When a Horse of the Year returns to the track, it stirs excitement and anticipation among racing enthusiasts. Thorpedo Anna's entry in the Grade 2 Azeri Stakes at Oaklawn marks a rare and significant moment in North American Thoroughbred racing. This event has only occurred twice since 2014, making it an exceptional opportunity for fans and bettors alike.

A Rare Opportunity to Witness Racing History Unfold

The Rarity of Returning Champions

The comeback of a Horse of the Year is an infrequent occurrence. Since 2014, only two champions have returned to compete, with none doing so since 2017. Thorpedo Anna’s participation in the Azeri Stakes signifies not just a return but also a full campaign planned for the season. Historically, notable horses like Cody’s Wish, Flightline, and Authentic retired after their respective titles, leaving Thorpedo Anna as a unique case.Historical data shows that California Chrome attempted comebacks in both 2014 and 2016, but neither effort was met with success. In 2014, he placed second at the Pegasus World Cup, and in 2016, he finished ninth in the same race. Similarly, Knicks Go secured a second-place finish in the 2021 Pegasus World Cup. These outcomes highlight the challenges faced by returning champions.

Statistical Insights and Betting Implications

Since Rachel Alexandra’s victory in 2009, the performance of returning champions has been less than stellar. The record stands at three wins out of seven starts, yielding a -44.2% return on investment. Notable victories include Havre de Grace in the New Orleans Ladies (2012) and Wise Dan in the Maker’s Mark Mile (2013 and 2014). However, these wins came with modest payouts of $2.20 and $2.80 respectively, indicating that betting on these events can be risky.Thorpedo Anna is expected to be the favorite in the Azeri Stakes, potentially priced around 1-5. This implies she needs to win 83% of the time to justify such odds. While she is indeed the most likely winner, history suggests that the rest of the field collectively holds a better-than-17% chance of causing an upset. This uncertainty adds an intriguing element to the race.

Tactical Considerations and Race Dynamics

A closer look at the Brisnet past performances reveals that all entrants possess front-end interest. Thorpedo Anna has demonstrated her prowess when setting the pace, winning both races where she took the lead. However, she is versatile enough to press from behind if necessary. Trainer Kenny McPeek and jockey Brian Hernandez Jr. will play crucial roles in determining the race strategy. Whether they choose to let her set the pace or avoid a speed duel could significantly impact the outcome.Alpine Princess presents an interesting contrast as a closer who might secure the best trip. Jody’s Pride shares similar traits but could gain an early advantage over Alpine Princess. Wild About Hilary, despite having to give weight allowances, remains a viable contender. The remaining entries are considered outsiders, adding layers of complexity to the race dynamics.

Betting Strategies and Potential Outcomes

For those hesitant to bet against Thorpedo Anna, considering exacta and trifecta bets with Alpine Princess, Jody’s Pride, and Wild About Hilary could offer value. Depending on the show pool, placing bets on Alpine Princess and Jody’s Pride to show might also be worthwhile. The unpredictability of horse racing means that even the underdogs have a shot at surprising the favorites.In conclusion, Thorpedo Anna’s return to the track in the Azeri Stakes promises to be a thrilling spectacle. Her historical significance, combined with the strategic nuances of the race, sets the stage for an unforgettable event in Thoroughbred racing.