The 2025 season for the Toronto Blue Jays presents a mix of optimism and caution. According to the ZiPS projection system, the team is expected to field a reasonably competitive roster despite facing numerous challenges from last year's underperformance. The projections suggest that while the Blue Jays have solid pieces in place, especially with their infield, significant concerns linger over their starting pitching depth and outfield productivity. Key players like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette will be crucial, but the clock is ticking on this core group as several star players approach free agency. The bullpen shows promise, offering a potential bright spot compared to its disappointing 2024 performance.
The ZiPS projections highlight the Toronto Blue Jays' strengths and weaknesses heading into the 2025 season. On the positive side, the infield looks robust, particularly with the addition of Andrés Giménez, who had an impressive 2024. His presence bolsters a lineup that includes notable performers such as Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette, and Alejandro Kirk. Guerrero Jr.'s continued development is pivotal; he is projected to maintain his high offensive output, contributing significantly to the team's success. Meanwhile, Bichette and Kirk are also expected to perform well, providing stability and reliability at shortstop and catcher, respectively.
However, the outfield and designated hitter (DH) positions present more uncertainty. Players like George Springer and Orelvis Martinez face declining projections, raising questions about their contributions. Springer, now clearly on the downslope of his career, is forecasted to struggle further, which could impact the team's overall performance. The DH role remains somewhat fluid, with Will Wagner emerging as a potential asset due to his intriguing offensive capabilities, though not necessarily a long-term solution. Daulton Varsho's defensive prowess is commendable, but his offense needs to improve to fully justify his starting role.
Another area of concern is the starting rotation. While Kevin Gausman leads the pack with a respectable projection, the rest of the starters project as merely adequate. José Berríos, Chris Bassitt, Bowden Francis, Yariel Rodríguez, and Alek Manoah all show moderate potential but lack the upside needed to elevate the team. Depth issues become apparent when considering the next tier of pitchers, where Jake Bloss, Adam Macko, and Andrew Bash do not inspire confidence. This fragility in the rotation could lead to swift declines if key injuries occur, underscoring the need for cautious optimism.
In contrast, the bullpen appears poised for improvement. Ryan Burr, Chad Green, Yimi García, Erik Swanson, Josh Walker, and Brandon Eisert all project as reliable relievers, potentially adding six wins to the team's tally compared to their dismal 2024 showing. A stronger bullpen would provide much-needed support to the starting pitchers and enhance the team's overall resilience. However, adding another left-handed arm to complement these righties could further solidify this unit.
To summarize, the Toronto Blue Jays enter the 2025 season with a mix of promising talent and looming challenges. Their infield offers a strong foundation, but the outfield and starting rotation require attention. The bullpen's anticipated improvement brings hope, yet the team must act decisively to address its vulnerabilities. With several key players approaching free agency, the coming season could be pivotal in determining the future trajectory of this franchise. Strategic moves and consistent performances will be essential for the Blue Jays to contend in the highly competitive AL East.