The Holiday Cheer Stakes holds a significant place on synthetic championships night at Turfway Park. It is a race that offers a great opportunity to defy the odds and emerge victorious. With Patches O’Houlihan expected to scratch, the competition becomes even more intense. Howard Wolowitz is the 5-2 morning line favorite, having won a Grade 1 in the Franklin-Simpson Stakes on turf. However, his performance on Gulfstream’s Tapeta surface shows his class. Despite this, I believe the price is too short against a competitive field.

Intriguing Contenders

Senbei - The Beaten Favorite

Senbei was a beaten favorite in a turf-sprint stakes last out. While it's unclear how the class compares between New York turf sprints and the synthetic championships, the surface switch gives me hope. I think Senbei can be more in the mix with the right pace. His potential is undeniable and could lead to a great performance.

There is a sense of mystery surrounding Senbei. His previous experience on turf gives him a unique perspective, and now with the synthetic surface, he may be able to showcase a different side of his abilities. The race could be his chance to redeem himself and prove that he is a force to be reckoned with.

Mo Stash - The Synthetic Novice

Mo Stash has never tried synthetic before, and this surface switch adds an extra layer of intrigue. Trainer Vicki Oliver has a remarkable 17% success rate with this move and a huge return on investment. It shows her expertise in adapting to different surfaces.

For Mo Stash, this could be a game-changer. The unknown factor of the synthetic surface may bring out the best in him. With a capable jockey like Luan Machado on board, there is a good chance that Mo Stash can make a strong showing and contribute to the all-stakes Pick 4.

Run Carson - First-Time on Synthetic

Run Carson will also be making his first attempt on synthetic. Trainer Kelsey Danner may not be as experienced in this area as Oliver, but a 13% success rate is still respectable. Luan Machado taking the mount is a positive sign.

Run Carson has the potential to adapt quickly to the synthetic surface. With the right conditions and a bit of luck, he could surprise everyone and be a key part of closing out the all-stakes Pick 4. Each of these contenders brings something unique to the table, making this a highly anticipated race.

I would love to be on the scene to witness Senbei, Mo Stash, and Run Carson as they strive to close out this all-stakes Pick 4. The excitement and uncertainty make this a race worth watching.