As families gathered for the holidays, discussions around college football were inevitable. ESPN has released its latest predictions for the remaining eight teams in the College Football Playoff (CFP), based on the SP+ Rankings. This tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency measure provides an updated outlook on each team's chances to win the national title. Ohio State leads the pack with a significant boost in their odds, followed closely by Texas, while Oregon, Penn State, Georgia, Notre Dame, Boise State, and Arizona State complete the list.
Top Contenders Emerge Stronger
The playoff landscape has shifted after the opening round, with some teams significantly improving their title odds. Ohio State stands out as the frontrunner despite being the lowest seed, thanks to their commanding 42-17 victory over Tennessee. The Buckeyes demonstrated dominance both on the ground and through the air, setting up a rematch against Oregon, who narrowly defeated them earlier this season. Meanwhile, Texas also saw an increase in their odds following a solid performance against Clemson, where their rushing attack shone brightly despite defensive vulnerabilities.
The Buckeyes have emerged as the top contenders, buoyed by their dominant display against Tennessee. They outperformed the Volunteers in all aspects of the game, particularly in passing, where they accumulated more than three times the yardage. This impressive showing positions Ohio State favorably for their upcoming clash with Oregon. On the other hand, Texas capitalized on their powerful running game to secure a decisive win over Clemson. However, their defense struggled, allowing Clemson’s quarterback to rack up substantial passing yards and touchdowns. Nonetheless, Texas remains a formidable force as they prepare to face Arizona State on New Year’s Day.
Underdogs Prepare for Critical Showdowns
While some teams have seen their title hopes bolstered, others face steeper challenges ahead. Oregon, despite being the top seed, has slipped slightly in the rankings, possibly due to their extended break since their last game. Penn State, meanwhile, bounced back from their loss to Oregon with a convincing win over SMU, showcasing a stifling defense that recorded multiple interceptions. Georgia, though victorious in the SEC Championship, faces uncertainty without their starting quarterback. Notre Dame, too, must navigate a tough path against Georgia’s formidable defense, aiming to claim their first national title in nearly a century.
Boise State, led by Heisman Trophy finalist Ashton Jeanty, represents one of the most intriguing underdog stories. Despite being ranked lower, the Broncos have consistently delivered when it matters, nearly upsetting Oregon earlier in the season. Jeanty’s exceptional performance in the Mountain West Championship underscores his potential to lead Boise State to further glory. Meanwhile, Arizona State, fresh off an unexpected Big 12 title, brings an element of unpredictability. Running back Cam Skattebo will be crucial for the Sun Devils as they aim to pull off another upset against Texas. These matchups promise thrilling encounters that could reshape the playoff narrative.