Football
College Football Transfer Portal: Week 1 Insights & Takeaways
2024-12-13
Max Olson, ESPN Staff Writer, delves into the impact of the college football transfer portal in this in-depth analysis. With over 1,500 FBS scholarship players already entering the portal, it's a new era for college football. As teams start filling up their commit lists, here are the takeaways from the first few days of portal mania.

Unraveling the College Football Transfer Portal's Early Impact

Tracking the Subtraction

In this wild first week of transfer activity, several programs have had a significant number of scholarship players enter the portal. Among the Power 4 conferences, Arizona has seen 26 players leave, followed closely by Arkansas and Mississippi State with 24 each. Kentucky has 21 players leaving, Purdue 20, and Oklahoma and Texas A&M with 19 each. Utah also has 18 players in the portal. It's notable that SEC programs are heavily represented early on, with proven starters like those from Arkansas, Mississippi State, and Kentucky being highly recruited by other teams. This shows how closely teams in the conference are scouting and shopping from one another's depth charts.

For example, at New Mexico, Charlotte, Marshall, Tulsa, and Sam Houston, the rosters are being gutted as new coaching regimes take over. Coastal Carolina coach Tim Beck said, "You're not building a program anymore. Each year, you just build a team. You try to find the best team that you can put out there every year, and you know the team is going to get hit by free agency."

Which Rosters Have Taken the Most Damage This Week?

Arizona has been hit hard, especially on defense. In the first four days of the portal cycle, linebacker Jacob Manu, a three-year starter, and several defensive backs like second-team All-Big 12 selection Tacario Davis, 2024 leading tackler Dalton Johnson, and multiyear starters Treydan Stukes and Gunner Maldonado have left. Together, these defenders account for more than 130 career starts, leaving the Wildcats with a 4-8 finish in their first season under coach Brent Brennan.

Oklahoma is also facing a comprehensive offensive rebuild. Former five-star quarterback Jackson Arnold is in the portal, and a mass exodus of wide receivers followed, including Nic Anderson, Jalil Farooq, Andrel Anthony, Brenen Thompson, J.J. Hester, Jaquaize Pettaway. The team is down six receivers with a combined 245 receptions, 4,059 receiving yards, and 26 touchdowns. The exit of tight end Bauer Sharp, who led the Sooners in receptions and receiving yards, is another blow. Quarterback Brendan Zurbrugg, running backs Kalib Hicks and Emeka Megwa, and offensive linemen Joshua Bates and Geirean Hatchett have also left, totaling 13 departures from a unit that ranked 121st nationally in total offense.

Pass Catchers in High Demand

Fourteen of the top 50 players in ESPN's transfer rankings are wide receivers, and the demand for them is high. Georgia Tech's Eric Singleton Jr. is considered the top receiver available, with early-round draft-pick potential. Auburn, Ole Miss, and Georgia are competing for his services. Other talented receivers include Dane Key (Kentucky), Barion Brown (Kentucky), Kevin Concepcion (NC State), Anderson (Oklahoma), and Duce Robinson (USC). Mario Craver (Mississippi State), Nyziah Hunter (Cal), and Micah Hudson (Texas Tech) are young but promising prospects. There are also many Group of 5 receivers like Eric Rivers (Florida International), Chase Sowell (East Carolina), and Reggie Virgil (Miami (Ohio)) who have the opportunity to move up.

Tight ends are also in high demand in this cycle. Purdue's Max Klare is viewed as the best, but Tanner Koziol (Ball State), Hasz (Arkansas), Sharp (Oklahoma), and Terrance Carter (Louisiana) are all being heavily recruited and have starting experience and proven production.

QB Decisions Rolling In

A month ago, it was suggested that there wouldn't be any $3 million quarterbacks in this transfer portal cycle. So far, we haven't seen any particularly jaw-dropping portal entries. Most potential Heisman contenders are staying with their current teams. Tulane's Darian Mensah and Cal's Fernando Mendoza were viewed as two of the best options if they became available, and both transferred. Duke made Mensah a priority, knowing it would cost them starter Maalik Murphy. Mendoza entered the portal on Wednesday and should have a quick recruitment.

Conner Weigman (Houston), Thomas Castellanos (Florida State), Devon Dampier (Utah), and Walker Howard (Louisiana) have found their right fits and committed. We might see a few more notable names in the portal in the coming days, like Maryland starter Billy Edwards Jr., who has declared he'll transfer. With 130 scholarship QBs already available, we'll have more clarity on where they're going by Sunday and Monday after the first weekend of official visits.

Trend to Watch

The repeat transfer trend is a concern for coaches and administrators. In this 2024-25 cycle, 31% of the first 1,500 FBS scholarship players in the portal are repeat transfers, up from 25% last year. The more alarming trend is the increase in non-graduating players transferring for a second or third time, with nearly 18% of repeat transfers not having earned their degree. This is a troubling direction as coaching staffs are taking more chances on transfers, and if they don't meet expectations, they'll go back in the portal. There are more than 450 scholarship transfers in this cycle who have been in the portal before, with some looking for their fourth team.
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