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Reflections on COP29: Landscape Shift - Adaptation Speed
2024-12-11
Sustainability has emerged as a critical issue in today's world, with its significance growing exponentially. The need for urgent action to meet climate goals was a prominent theme at COP29. Three key facts highlight this urgency: this is the first year we are on track to exceed 1.5 degrees; global insurance losses from natural catastrophes are set to exceed $135 billion this year, affecting and costing lives; and most countries and companies are lagging behind their 2030 plans and targets.

Unraveling the Complexities of Sustainability in a Changing World

First Stance: Sustainability as a Core Business Opportunity

Start-ups, private-capital investors, and incumbents are pivoting to scale up new clean technology, seeing sustainability as a core business opportunity. Investors are becoming more discerning, focusing on "deal origination" rather than funding shortages. Many startups are exploring blended finance and carbon markets to overcome capital scarcity. Some recent failures are seen as execution issues rather than flaws in the business idea.

For example, a startup in the renewable energy sector faced challenges in securing funding initially. But by leveraging blended finance mechanisms and focusing on derisking execution, they were able to attract investors and bring their projects to fruition. Another startup in the carbon capture industry is looking to carbon markets as a bankable source of revenues to support their ventures.

Second Stance: Struggles in High-Emitting Industries

Companies in high-emitting industries like oil, gas, and power, as well as hard-to-abate sectors like steel and aviation, face difficulties in making business cases for deploying new climate technology. They need to rethink business models and partnership approaches to continue reducing emissions.

For instance, an oil company is exploring carbon capture technologies but is struggling to justify the investment based on their current hurdle rates. By collaborating with research institutions and startups, they are trying to find innovative solutions that can make the technology more economically viable and help them meet their decarbonization goals.

Third Stance: Committed to Meeting or Exceeding Commitments

Some companies are committed to meeting or exceeding their previous sustainability commitments. They strive to be leaders in their sectors, responding to customer and employee needs. However, they often face challenges such as geopolitical developments and regulatory changes that can derail their progress.

Take a manufacturing company that had set ambitious sustainability goals. Due to regulatory changes, they had to reevaluate their plans and invest more in compliance measures. By taking an honest look at their emissions footprint and resourcing, they were able to get back on track and continue making progress towards their goals.

Regardless of their stance, companies need to reevaluate their positions, rethink their strategies, and communicate their plans publicly. It's time for a major refresh with a scenario-based approach for the future. They need to accelerate on committed plans while keeping other options viable.

Accelerating Cost-Competitive Climate Technologies

Identifying and scaling up new climate technologies is crucial for companies. While renewables have scaled up, many other technologies are just starting to move from labs to commercial scale. Industrializing these technologies is imperative given their attractive economics and potential to accelerate the transition.

For example, a company working on hydrogen technology is focused on accelerating its deployment. By demonstrating the prototype in an operational environment and reducing unit costs through scaling, they are attracting financing and securing offtakes. Another company is investing in long-duration energy storage to meet the growing energy demand while reducing carbon emissions.

Executing on In-the-Money Technologies with Rigor

For companies that have advanced to the scaling phase, operational and commercial execution is a frequent challenge. Derisking execution requires the same effort as derisking the business case and consistent application of best practices.

Take a company in the smart microgrid industry. They are focusing on speed of execution, driving down unit costs, and locking in offtake agreements. By having teams with prior experience and following best practices in supply chain and operations, they are able to scale up their technology successfully.

In conclusion, the sustainability landscape is constantly evolving, with companies facing various challenges and opportunities. They need to be strategic, collaborative, and embrace digital tools to accelerate action and meet their sustainability goals. The clock is ticking, and true leaders will emerge stronger by taking decisive actions.

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