Uncover the Best Fits for Buehler in Free Agency
Landing Spots with Past Successes with Reclamation Projects
The New York Mets have a proven track record in signing and revitalizing reclamation projects, bringing them back to their previous form. Just consider their work with Manaea and Luis Severino last season after they signed one-year deals with the club during the previous winter. Buehler, at his peak, has shown more upside than either of these pitchers had when they signed their contracts, making him a potentially more promising project for David Stearns and his team. As long as he doesn't post ERAs above 5.00, WHIPs over 1.50, and allow hitters to hit at nearly a.300 clip against him, Buehler can provide the Mets with another arm that can at least play a role in filling out the lower half of the rotation. At his best, he can join the likes of Kodai Senga at the top of the Mets' staff. A key aspect that makes me believe this reclamation project could be successful lies in Buehler's batted-ball metrics. He has always been solid at inducing weaker contact. For instance, in 2021 when he was at his peak, he boasted a hard-hit rate, barrel rate, ground ball rate, and average exit velocity that were at or above the 63rd percentile. Even when his performance was at its lowest this season, he still managed to keep most of these metrics above the 65th percentile. This is favorable for a Mets rotation that in 2024 took pride in its ability to limit strong contact, ranking in the 10th in hard-hit%, fifth in HR/9, and fourth in HR/FB.
Another team that fits this category is the San Diego Padres. They have a history of identifying and developing pitchers who have faced challenges and bringing them back to their best. Buehler's skill set and potential could align well with the Padres' organizational goals. With their pitching infrastructure and coaching staff, they have the resources to help Buehler regain his form. The Padres also have a need for an additional quality starter to strengthen their rotation. Buehler's experience and talent could make him a valuable addition to their team. His ability to command the strike zone and induce weak contact could be a crucial asset in a division where every game counts. If Buehler can regain his form, he could become a key piece in the Padres' pursuit of postseason success.
Landing Spots with Sufficient Rotational Strength
The Los Angeles Dodgers, of course, are a prime example of a team with sufficient rotational strength. They have a deep and talented pitching staff, and Buehler would fit seamlessly into their lineup. The Dodgers have the resources and infrastructure to support a player of Buehler's caliber and help him reach his full potential. With their track record of success and ability to manage player development, Buehler would have every opportunity to thrive. Additionally, the Dodgers' fan base and the competitive environment in Los Angeles would provide an ideal backdrop for Buehler to showcase his skills. He would be part of a team that is committed to winning and has the means to do so. The Dodgers' coaching staff would work closely with Buehler to address any areas of improvement and help him refine his pitching mechanics. This combination of talent, resources, and support makes the Dodgers a strong landing spot for Buehler.
The Boston Red Sox also fall into this category. They have a solid rotation and are always looking for ways to enhance their pitching depth. Buehler's potential and track record make him an attractive option for the Red Sox. They would view him as a veteran presence in the rotation who can provide stability and leadership. The Red Sox have a history of making smart acquisitions, and Buehler would fit well into their organizational culture. His ability to pitch in high-pressure situations and perform in big games would be highly valued by the team. With the Red Sox's emphasis on analytics and player development, Buehler would have the opportunity to work with a team that is committed to optimizing his performance. He could bring a new dimension to the Red Sox' rotation and help them compete for championships.