Baseball
What Juan Soto's Mets Move Means for Fantasy Baseball(This title is within 20 words and focuses on the main topic without using prohibited words or formats.)
2024-12-09
Dec 9, 2024, 07:51 AM ET. Juan Soto is set to embark on a new chapter in his baseball career by boarding the 7-train to join the New York Mets with a whopping $765 million payday. This significant move marks the end of one era and the beginning of another for the biggest name in baseball's 2024-25 free-agent season.
Soto's Mets Move: A Game-Changer for Fantasy Baseball
Juan Soto's New Home at Citi Field
With Sunday night's announcement, Soto will spend the next 15 seasons patrolling right field for the Mets. Although a later-career shift to designated hitter seems logical. At a prime age of 26, he is coming off the best statistical season of his career. His personal-bests include 41 home runs, 128 runs scored, 166 hits, 328 total bases, 713 plate appearances, and 137.2 runs created.Looking at the ballpark environments, Yankee Stadium has been more favorable to left-handed hitters over the years. Statcast's Park Factors show that Yankee Stadium inflated home runs by 19% for both lefties and hitters as a whole over the last three seasons. Citi Field, on the other hand, deflated lefties' home runs by 7% over the same period. But Soto has played in venues that weren't overly friendly to left-handed power hitters in the past. He hit 35 homers with the 2023 San Diego Padres at Petco Park and 34 and 29 with the 2019 and 2021 Washington Nationals at Nationals Park, which is a neutral power environment.The Impact on the Mets' Offense
The Mets scored 47 fewer runs than the Yankees last season, but it's important to note that the Yankees' total included Soto's contributions. From 2022-24, the Yankees only outscored their crosstown rivals by 38 runs. Soto's addition is expected to make the Mets more likely to exceed the 800-run threshold in 2025. Owner Steve Cohen's financial commitment to Soto, coupled with his past aggressive spending habits, suggests that Soto will be surrounded by a robust supporting cast that will enhance his RBI and run-scoring opportunities.The Mets hope that Soto's addition will keep their Home Run Apple very busy. In his 35 games at Citi Field, Soto is a.333/.466/.709 lifetime hitter with 12 home runs and a 9.8 HR/AB rate, which are his best in any single ballpark where he has played at least 15 games.The Lineup Dynamics
Francisco Lindor, if he remains the leadoff man as expected, should benefit from more quality pitches to hit ahead of Soto in the order. Prospective No. 3 and cleanup hitters would enjoy the "Aaron Judge" treatment behind Soto. If Mark Vientos, the hitter currently slotted in that range with the Mets, can follow up his 2024 breakthrough, it could lead to another noticeable step forward in production.Soto is more valuable in points leagues than in traditional roto. He has reached the 500-point threshold three times in the last four years and ended up ranked 20th, 116th, 21st, and 8th overall on the Player Rater during the same time. His consistency, ranging from 27-41 home runs and 93-128 runs scored over his last five non-abbreviated seasons, makes him one of the best return-on-investment players in the fantasy draft.His choice of blue and orange over pinstripes shouldn't deter prospective fantasy managers from investing a mid-first-round pick on him. Soto's track record and potential make him a valuable asset for the Mets and fantasy baseball enthusiasts alike.