Baseball
Evaluating Key Players and Their Contracts
2024-11-26
Naylor's Final Year with the Guardians: A Costly Decision
Unraveling the Financial Implications of Player Contracts
For one, Naylor is entering his final year of team control with the Guardians. This final year is projected to cost around $12 million based on MLB Trade Rumors’ arbitration projections for the 2025 season. Such a price tag is quite hefty for a team like Cleveland. The Guardians have a talented roster, and Naylor's position at first base is crucial. Surprise breakout player David Fry, late-season call-up Jhonkensy Noel, and former top prospect Kyle Manzardo have emerged as viable options at first base. These players can handle the position at a much lower cost, making Naylor's contract a subject of consideration.In addition to Naylor, starting pitcher Pablo Lopez is another player that teams are reluctant to part with due to his consistent production. Lopez began his career with the Miami Marlins before joining the Twins. Over seven seasons and 158 appearances (all starts), he has a career 3.91 ERA. In the last three seasons, he has started 32 games each year. When traded to the Twins in 2023, he was named to the All-Star Game for the first time and received votes for the AL Cy Young award. Lopez is still in his prime, entering his age-29 season. However, his contract also poses a challenge. Minnesota signed him to a four-year extension that bought out his final arbitration year in 2024 and added three additional years. The first year of the contract paid him $8.25 million, but the final three years, starting in 2025, will pay $21.75 million per year. This is a significant amount of money for a small market team like the Twins, who ranked 19th in MLB in total payroll in 2024 according to Spotrac. The Twins' starting staff wasn't the strongest in 2024, ranking 22nd in the league with a 4.36 ERA. Losing their ace would be a tough blow, but they may not have many alternatives.The Guardians' situation with Naylor and the Twins' with Lopez highlight the complex nature of player contracts and the financial decisions teams face. These players bring value on the field, but their contracts can strain a team's budget. It's a delicate balance that teams must navigate as they strive for success both on and off the field.