Navigating Fantasy Football Start/Sit Choices in Week 15

Week 15 Risky Fantasy Football Starts

C.J. Stroud (QB – HOU) vs. Dolphins: Since Nico Collins' return, Stroud's performance has improved. On average, he scores four more points per game. However, he has only one 20-point game this season. Miami's defense has been inconsistent, but they hold the last five quarterbacks outside the top 10. Stroud is awful against the blitz, ranking last in catchable ball rate. Miami blitzes at the 11th-highest rate. His best hope is the deep passing game, where Miami has been poor, allowing the sixth-highest QB Rating on throws 20+ yards. Stroud has completed the sixth-highest rate of these passes, but it's a thin margin when championship hopes are at stake.

Mark Andrews (TE – BAL) @ Giants: The Ravens were initially 14.5-point favorites but the line jumped to -16 when Tommy DeVito was announced as the starter. The Giants have allowed the third-fewest tight end fantasy points and only two tight ends have scored touchdowns against them. No tight end has exceeded 50 yards. With the Giants placing second-round safety Tyler Nubin on IR, things might change. However, the Ravens might not need to pass much as they face a team allowing the third-highest yards per carry and fourth-most rushing yards per game.

Week 15 Safe Fantasy Football Starts

Aaron Rodgers (QB – NYJ) @ Jaguars: Aaron Rodgers is coming off his first 300-yard passing game in almost three years. The Jaguars rank last in pass defense DVOA. They have allowed nine different quarterbacks to finish as a top-12 option and three to be the QB1. Rodgers is playing for a chance to return to New York and will likely be lethal on play-action passes, as the Jaguars allow a league-high 141 passing yards per game on these plays. Over the last four weeks, he has had the third-most play-action snaps.

Chuba Hubbard (RB – CAR) vs. Cowboys: Some players have all the luck, and Chuba Hubbard is one of them. He has 1,152 all-purpose yards and nine touchdowns. This week, he faces a weak Dallas defense ranked 29th in rushing DVOA and allowing the fourth-most running back fantasy points. Dallas has allowed eight top-10 running back finishes this year, including Chase Brown in Week 14.

Brian Robinson Jr. (RB – WAS) @ Saints: Austin Ekeler is on IR, clearing the way for Brian Robinson to see more touches. When Ekeler got injured, Robinson had one of his best performances of the year, rushing for 6.4 yards per carry and breaking 100 yards. The Saints can't stop the run, allowing a league-high 5.0 yards per carry. Without starting quarterback Derek Carr, they might be worn down. The Commanders are fresh off their bye, and everything suggests Robinson could get 20 touches, two touchdowns, and a top-eight weekly finish.