The North Carolina Tar Heels, currently unranked, head to Winston-Salem to face the formidable Wake Forest Demon Deacons. UNC has struggled at Wake Forest's home court, not winning there in five years and as an unranked team for 14 years. Despite a strong historical rivalry that began in 1911, where UNC holds a 70.5% win rate against Wake Forest, recent trends favor the Deacons, who have secured three consecutive victories at home with an average margin of over 15 points. The Tar Heels come into this game after their four-game winning streak was broken by Stanford, while Wake Forest aims to extend its winning run to six games, marking their best ACC start since 1996-97.
In preparation for this crucial match, both teams' guards will play pivotal roles. RJ Davis of UNC and Hunter Sallis of Wake Forest are set to be key players, with Davis averaging 22 points against Wake Forest and Sallis leading the ACC in scoring efficiency. Additionally, Ian Jackson and Tre’Von Spillers have been instrumental in recent performances for UNC and Wake Forest, respectively. Defense without fouling will also be critical, as Wake Forest has historically capitalized on free throws in home games against UNC. A prediction suggests Wake Forest may edge out UNC, maintaining their dominance at home.
Tuesday night’s matchup at Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum will highlight the prowess of two standout guards. RJ Davis of UNC and Hunter Sallis of Wake Forest are expected to lead their respective teams. Davis, despite his lower shooting percentage this season, has historically performed well against Wake Forest. Meanwhile, Sallis is enjoying one of the best scoring stretches of his career, averaging nearly 25 points per game in recent matches. Both players will need to deliver top performances if their teams are to succeed.
Davis, known for his explosive scoring ability, dropped 36 points against Wake Forest last season but has faced challenges this year, averaging just 17.3 points on subpar shooting. However, he has consistently averaged 22 points specifically against Wake Forest. On the other hand, Sallis has been unstoppable, scoring 20 or more points in seven straight games. His efficiency from the field (58.8%) makes him a formidable opponent. The duel between these guards will likely determine the outcome of the game. Fans can expect high-scoring moments and strategic plays from both sides as they vie for control.
Beyond the guard showdown, the success of each team hinges on defensive strategies and contributions from supporting players. UNC’s freshman Ian Jackson has been a bright spot, scoring 20 or more points in six of the past eight games. However, his recent performance against Stanford was lackluster, and UNC will need him to regain form. Similarly, Wake Forest’s Tre’Von Spillers has been vital, delivering double-figure scoring in four of the last five games, including two double-doubles. Given UNC’s inconsistent frontcourt play, Spillers could exploit this weakness.
Defense will be another critical factor. Wake Forest has shown consistent defensive strength throughout the season, while UNC has improved since entering ACC play. The team that can defend effectively without committing fouls will likely prevail. In previous home wins against UNC, Wake Forest averaged 32 free throw attempts, a significant advantage. UNC struggles more with fouling, ranking 268th nationally with an average of 18 fouls per game. To win, UNC must tighten its defense and minimize fouls, while Wake Forest needs to maintain its defensive intensity. The stakes are high, and both teams will need to bring their best efforts to secure victory.